New England vs Seacoast United Phantoms: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
New Englandvs
Seacoast United PhantomsOur model leans New England (59% probability), high confidence.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +The odds point to a clear favourite.
- +The head-to-head record favours New England (2-0-0).
- −Recent form favours Seacoast United Phantoms.
- +New England have home advantage.
Win probabilities
Value radar
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply — a potential value spot.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- The odds point to a clear favourite.
- The head-to-head record favours New England (2-0-0).
- Recent form favours Seacoast United Phantoms.
- New England have home advantage.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. "Value" means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 1 | 13 | 10 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 1 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model blends the odds, head-to-head history and recent form to frame this clash between New England and Seacoast United Phantoms. After removing the bookmaker margin, the probabilities settle at 59% for New England, 18% for the draw and 23% for Seacoast United Phantoms.
Several signals point toward New England. The odds point to a clear favourite. The head-to-head record favours New England (2-0-0). New England have home advantage.
Across the last 2 meetings, the record reads 2 New England wins, 0 draws and 0 Seacoast United Phantoms wins. Recent scorelines: 2-3, 2-1.
If the trend holds, a scoreline around 2-1 is plausible — treat it as a pointer, not a certainty.
On form, New England show L-L-W-W-W across their recent outings, while Seacoast United Phantoms read W-W-W-W-W. Recent momentum carries weight in the assessment, particularly when combined with home advantage and the competition context.
On the secondary markets, our model puts over 2.5 goals at 49% and both teams to score at 46%. The totals market stays finely balanced.
Our model flags a disagreement with the market on "Seacoast United Phantoms" (1X2): we rate it 23% versus the 21% implied by odds of 4.30, an edge of 2.0 points. That's where the market appears to underrate the true likelihood.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, New England or Seacoast United Phantoms?
Our model rates New England as the most likely outcome at 59% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for New England vs Seacoast United Phantoms?
A scoreline around 2-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 2 meetings: 2 New England wins, 0 draws, 0 Seacoast United Phantoms wins.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.