Utah United vs Flatirons: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Utah Unitedvs
FlatironsOur model leans Utah United (89% probability), high confidence.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +The odds point to a clear favourite.
- +Recent form favours Utah United.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
- +Utah United have home advantage.
Win probabilities
Value radar
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply — a potential value spot.
Recent form
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- The odds point to a clear favourite.
- Recent form favours Utah United.
- The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
- Utah United have home advantage.
- Goals outlook: an open game likely.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. "Value" means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3 | |||||
| 1 | 10 | 3 | ||||
| 2 | 16 | 4 | ||||
| 3 | 17 | 4 | ||||
| 4 | 14 | 4 | ||||
| 5 | 9 | 2 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model blends the odds, head-to-head history and recent form to frame this clash between Utah United and Flatirons. After removing the bookmaker margin, the probabilities settle at 89% for Utah United, 5% for the draw and 6% for Flatirons.
Several signals point toward Utah United. The odds point to a clear favourite. Recent form favours Utah United. Utah United have home advantage.
Across the last 5 meetings, the record reads 2 Utah United wins, 0 draws and 3 Flatirons wins. Recent scorelines: 1-3, 2-1, 2-0, 1-2, 3-1.
If the trend holds, a scoreline around 2-1 is plausible — treat it as a pointer, not a certainty.
On form, Utah United show D-W-L-W-L across their recent outings, while Flatirons read L-L-L-W-W. Recent momentum carries weight in the assessment, particularly when combined with home advantage and the competition context.
On the secondary markets, our model puts over 2.5 goals at 62% and both teams to score at 21%. The match profile leans toward a higher goal total.
Our model flags a disagreement with the market on "Under 2.5" (O/U 2.5): we rate it 38% versus the 18% implied by odds of 5.50, an edge of 19.4 points. That's where the market appears to underrate the true likelihood.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Utah United or Flatirons?
Our model rates Utah United as the most likely outcome at 89% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Utah United vs Flatirons?
A scoreline around 2-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 5 meetings: 2 Utah United wins, 0 draws, 3 Flatirons wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.