Kozlovice vs MSK Břeclav: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Kozlovicevs
MSK BřeclavOur model leans Kozlovice (41% probability), medium confidence.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Kozlovice have home advantage.
Win probabilities
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Match DNA
Key points
- Kozlovice have home advantage.
- Goals outlook: a tight, low-scoring game likely.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. "Value" means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 13 | 13 | 7 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 4 | 4 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 1 | 1 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model blends the odds, head-to-head history and recent form to frame this clash between Kozlovice and MSK Břeclav. After removing the bookmaker margin, the probabilities settle at 41% for Kozlovice, 27% for the draw and 33% for MSK Břeclav.
Several signals point toward Kozlovice. Kozlovice have home advantage.
Across the last 1 meetings, the record reads 1 Kozlovice wins, 0 draws and 0 MSK Břeclav wins. Recent scorelines: 0-2.
On form, Kozlovice show W-L-L-L-D across their recent outings, while MSK Břeclav read L-W-D-L-W. Recent momentum carries weight in the assessment, particularly when combined with home advantage and the competition context.
On the secondary markets, our model puts over 2.5 goals at 41% and both teams to score at 46%. The profile leans toward a tighter, lower-scoring game.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Kozlovice or MSK Břeclav?
Our model rates Kozlovice as the most likely outcome at 41% probability.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 1 Kozlovice wins, 0 draws, 0 MSK Břeclav wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward under 2.5 goals.
League table
Czech Republic. 4 Liga| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  CSK Uherský Brod | 27 | 21 | 0 | 6 | 55:14 | 69 |
| 2 |  Tatran Vsechovice | 28 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 67:38 | 53 |
| 3 | Kozlovice | 27 | 15 | 4 | 8 | 58:30 | 53 |
| 4 |  Strani | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 54:32 | 51 |
| 5 |  TJ Sokol Lanzhot | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 46:26 | 46 |
| 6 |  TVD Slavicin | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 40:34 | 45 |
| 7 |  Brumov | 27 | 13 | 10 | 4 | 42:34 | 43 |
| 8 |  Bzenec | 27 | 13 | 12 | 2 | 59:52 | 41 |
| 9 |  Batov 1930 | 27 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 31:41 | 34 |
| 10 | MSK Břeclav | 27 | 10 | 14 | 3 | 36:49 | 33 |
| 11 |  Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz II | 28 | 8 | 17 | 3 | 30:55 | 27 |
| 12 |  SFK Holešov | 27 | 6 | 15 | 6 | 39:53 | 24 |
| 13 |  Sternberk | 28 | 5 | 16 | 7 | 35:54 | 22 |
| 14 |  Nove Sady | 27 | 3 | 15 | 9 | 28:54 | 18 |
| 15 |  Skastice | 27 | 3 | 20 | 4 | 24:78 | 13 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.