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Australia. West Australia. Division 1

Subiaco vs Mandurah City: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Subiaco SubiacovsMandurah City Mandurah City
Our predictionSubiaco to win
Confidence: Low · 12/100

Our model leans Subiaco (39% probability), low confidence.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

Our prediction missed (predicted: Subiaco · actual: Mandurah City)

Win probabilities

1 · SubiacoDraw2 · Mandurah City
Full team comparison

Expected goals

2.06Subiaco
xG
1.75Mandurah City
Over 2.5 goals72%
Both teams to score71%

Most likely scorelines

2-18.2%
1-18.0%
2-27.2%
1-27.0%
3-15.7%
3-24.9%
Team strength rating
Subiaco
39
Mandurah City
66

Recent form

SubiacoLLL
Mandurah CityWWW

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Subiaco Mandurah City

Key points

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
02432
158742
258742
336531
42331
511

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model blends the odds and recent form to frame this clash between Subiaco and Mandurah City. After removing the bookmaker margin, the probabilities settle at 39% for Subiaco, 26% for the draw and 36% for Mandurah City.

Several signals point toward Subiaco. Subiaco have home advantage.

On form, Subiaco show L-L-L across their recent outings, while Mandurah City read W-W-W. Recent momentum carries weight in the assessment, particularly when combined with home advantage and the competition context.

On the secondary markets, our model puts over 2.5 goals at 72% and both teams to score at 71%. The match profile leans toward a higher goal total.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Subiaco or Mandurah City?

Our model rates Subiaco as the most likely outcome at 39% probability.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.

See odds at bookmakers

Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.