Subiaco vs Mandurah City: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Our model leans Subiaco (39% probability), low confidence.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Mandurah City.
- +Subiaco have home advantage.
Win probabilities
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Match DNA
Key points
- Recent form favours Mandurah City.
- Subiaco have home advantage.
- Goals outlook: an open game likely.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 2 | |
| 2 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 2 | |
| 3 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 1 | |
| 4 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 5 | 1 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model blends the odds and recent form to frame this clash between Subiaco and Mandurah City. After removing the bookmaker margin, the probabilities settle at 39% for Subiaco, 26% for the draw and 36% for Mandurah City.
Several signals point toward Subiaco. Subiaco have home advantage.
On form, Subiaco show L-L-L across their recent outings, while Mandurah City read W-W-W. Recent momentum carries weight in the assessment, particularly when combined with home advantage and the competition context.
On the secondary markets, our model puts over 2.5 goals at 72% and both teams to score at 71%. The match profile leans toward a higher goal total.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Subiaco or Mandurah City?
Our model rates Subiaco as the most likely outcome at 39% probability.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.