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Simon Bolivar Cup

Guadalajara Qaqachaca vs Deportivo Escara: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Guadalajara Qaqachaca Guadalajara QaqachacavsDeportivo Escara Deportivo Escara
Our predictionGuadalajara Qaqachaca to win
Confidence: High · 92/100
Score hint: 2-1

Our model leans Guadalajara Qaqachaca (83% probability), high confidence.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

Win probabilities

1 · Guadalajara QaqachacaDraw2 · Deportivo Escara
Full team comparison
Team strength rating
Guadalajara Qaqachaca
80
Deportivo Escara
36

Expected goals

3.00Guadalajara Qaqachaca
xG
0.42Deportivo Escara
Over 2.5 goals63%
Both teams to score31%

Most likely scorelines

3-014.7%
2-014.7%
4-011.1%
1-09.8%
5-06.6%
3-16.2%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Guadalajara Qaqachaca Deportivo Escara

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Guadalajara Qaqachaca win1.10Fair
Total goalsOver 2.51.43Fair

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. "Value" means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
031
1104
21561
31561
4115
573

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Value radar

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply — a potential value spot.

1X2Guadalajara Qaqachaca1.10+0.2%
1X2Draw12.00-0.1%
1X2Deportivo Escara9.40-0.1%
O/U 2.5Under 2.52.65-0.8%
O/U 2.5Over 2.51.43-6.9%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = potential value. Not betting advice.

Full analysis

With limited data on this fixture, the read here is driven by the market. After removing the bookmaker margin, the probabilities settle at 83% for Guadalajara Qaqachaca, 8% for the draw and 10% for Deportivo Escara — treat this as a lighter, odds-led view.

Several signals point toward Guadalajara Qaqachaca. The odds point to a clear favourite. Guadalajara Qaqachaca have home advantage.

If the trend holds, a scoreline around 2-1 is plausible — treat it as a pointer, not a certainty.

On the secondary markets, our model puts over 2.5 goals at 63% and both teams to score at 31%. The match profile leans toward a higher goal total.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Guadalajara Qaqachaca or Deportivo Escara?

Our model rates Guadalajara Qaqachaca as the most likely outcome at 83% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Guadalajara Qaqachaca vs Deportivo Escara?

A scoreline around 2-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.

See odds at bookmakers

Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.