← All predictions
MLS+

Austin + vs St. Louis +: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Austin + Austin +vsSt. Louis + St. Louis +
Our predictionAustin + to win
Confidence: High · 61/100

Our model leans Austin + (43% probability), high confidence.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

Our prediction was correct (predicted: Austin + · actual: Austin +)

Win probabilities

1 · Austin +Draw2 · St. Louis +
Full team comparison

Expected goals

2.17Austin +
xG
1.56St. Louis +
Over 2.5 goals71%
Both teams to score69%
Team strength rating
Austin +
58
St. Louis +
38

Most likely scorelines

2-18.8%
1-18.2%
2-26.9%
3-16.4%
1-26.3%
2-05.7%

Recent form

Austin +WLLWD
St. Louis +LDLLL

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Austin + St. Louis +

Key points

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
02432
158631
269741
346531
42331
511

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model blends the odds and recent form to frame this clash between Austin + and St. Louis +. After removing the bookmaker margin, the probabilities settle at 43% for Austin +, 26% for the draw and 31% for St. Louis +.

Several signals point toward Austin +. Recent form favours Austin +. Austin + have home advantage.

On form, Austin + show W-L-L-W-D across their recent outings, while St. Louis + read L-D-L-L-L. Recent momentum carries weight in the assessment, particularly when combined with home advantage and the competition context.

On the secondary markets, our model puts over 2.5 goals at 71% and both teams to score at 69%. The match profile leans toward a higher goal total.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Austin + or St. Louis +?

Our model rates Austin + as the most likely outcome at 43% probability.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.

See odds at bookmakers

Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.