Landvetter vs Jonsereds: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
The model puts Landvetter at 64%. The model leans toward Landvetter. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Landvetter.
- −The head-to-head record favours Jonsereds (1-0-3).
Win probabilities
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Landvetter have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Jonsereds have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Landvetter have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Landvetter is priced at 1.44.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 5 | 1 | |||
| 1 | 14 | 9 | 3 | |||
| 2 | 14 | 9 | 3 | |||
| 3 | 9 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 2 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Landvetter at 64%. The model puts the draw at 20%. The model puts Jonsereds at 16%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The market leans toward Landvetter. Landvetter is priced at 1.44. The draw is priced at 4.2. Jonsereds is priced at 5.92.
Landvetter have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. Jonsereds have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings.
Landvetter have 4 wins in their last 5 matches. Landvetter are on 4 wins in a row. Jonsereds have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 41% for both teams to score. The model gives 50% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Landvetter or Jonsereds?
Our model rates Landvetter as the most likely outcome at 64% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Landvetter vs Jonsereds?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 4 meetings: 1 Landvetter wins, 0 draws, 3 Jonsereds wins.
League table
Sweden. Division 2. Western Gotaland| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 20:6 | 28 | |
| 2 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 26:18 | 22 | |
| 3 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 21:14 | 22 | |
| 4 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 22:22 | 21 | |
| 5 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 19:17 | 19 | |
| 6 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 21:20 | 18 | |
| 7 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 24:24 | 17 | |
| 8 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 26:22 | 15 | |
| 9 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 17:19 | 14 | |
| 10 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 16:18 | 14 | |
| 11 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 17:23 | 13 | |
| 12 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 14:23 | 11 | |
| 13 | 12 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 18:22 | 8 | |
| 14 | 12 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 9:22 | 6 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.