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Australia. NPL Queensland

Wynnum Wolves vs Eastern Suburbs: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Wynnum Wolves Wynnum WolvesvsEastern Suburbs Eastern Suburbs
Our predictionDraw
Confidence: Low · 33/100
Score hint: 1-1

Our model leans the draw (39% probability), low confidence.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

Win probabilities

1 · Wynnum WolvesDraw2 · Eastern Suburbs
Full team comparison

Value radar

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply — a potential value spot.

1X2Eastern Suburbs3.68+3.5%
1X2Wynnum Wolves2.67-1.1%
1X2Draw2.20-2.4%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = potential value. Not betting advice.

Recent form

Wynnum WolvesWLLWL
Eastern SuburbsDWLLW
Team strength rating
Wynnum Wolves
45
Eastern Suburbs
54

Most likely scorelines

1-112.4%
1-010.6%
2-18.9%
0-18.7%
2-07.5%
0-07.4%

Expected goals

1.43Wynnum Wolves
xG
1.18Eastern Suburbs
Over 2.5 goals48%
Both teams to score53%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Wynnum Wolves Eastern Suburbs

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Draw2.20Fair (-2.4%)

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. "Value" means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
07952
1111273
28952
3442
412
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model blends the odds, head-to-head history and recent form to frame this clash between Wynnum Wolves and Eastern Suburbs. After removing the bookmaker margin, the probabilities settle at 33% for Wynnum Wolves, 39% for the draw and 28% for Eastern Suburbs.

Several signals point toward the draw. The odds point to a clear favourite.

Across the last 5 meetings, the record reads 0 Wynnum Wolves wins, 1 draws and 4 Eastern Suburbs wins. Recent scorelines: 1-0, 2-4, 0-0, 5-1, 1-3.

If the trend holds, a scoreline around 1-1 is plausible — treat it as a pointer, not a certainty.

On form, Wynnum Wolves show W-L-L-W-L across their recent outings, while Eastern Suburbs read D-W-L-L-W. Recent momentum carries weight in the assessment, particularly when combined with home advantage and the competition context.

On the secondary markets, our model puts over 2.5 goals at 48% and both teams to score at 53%. The totals market stays finely balanced.

Our model flags a disagreement with the market on "Eastern Suburbs" (1X2): we rate it 28% versus the 25% implied by odds of 3.68, an edge of 3.5 points. That's where the market appears to underrate the true likelihood.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Wynnum Wolves or Eastern Suburbs?

Our model rates the draw as the most likely outcome at 39% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Wynnum Wolves vs Eastern Suburbs?

A scoreline around 1-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

What's the head-to-head record?

In the last 5 meetings: 0 Wynnum Wolves wins, 1 draws, 4 Eastern Suburbs wins.

See odds at bookmakers

League table

Australia. NPL Queensland
#TeamGPWLTGPts
1Peninsula Power14102234:1732
2Queensland Lions1392237:1529
3Moreton City Excelsior1384134:1925
4Wynnum Wolves1374223:2323
5Eastern Suburbs1274124:1522
6Brisbane City1464431:3222
7Gold Coast Knights1163229:1720
8Brisbane Olympic1457228:2917
9Rochedale Rovers1338218:3211
10Gold Coast United1339117:2710
11Magic United TFA14310114:4210
12Brisbane Roar II14212016:376
Promotion - Australia. Queensland League (Play-off) Relegation - Australia. Queensland League

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.