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Finland. Kolmonen. Division 3

Zulimanit vs Yllatys: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Zulimanit ZulimanitvsYllatys Yllatys
Our predictionZulimanit to win
Model score: Medium · 37/100
Score hint: 2-1

The model puts Zulimanit at 46%. Data on this fixture is limited, so the prediction carries extra uncertainty. Confidence: medium.

Win probabilities

1 · ZulimanitDraw2 · Yllatys
Full team comparison

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

O/U 2.5Under 2.54.20+13.5%
1X2Zulimanit2.01+0.5%
1X2Draw4.60-0.2%
1X2Yllatys2.59-0.3%
O/U 2.5Over 2.51.19-13.5%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Expected goals

1.92Zulimanit
xG
1.40Yllatys
Over 2.5 goals64%
Both teams to score64%
Team strength rating
Zulimanit
58
Yllatys
51

Most likely scorelines

1-19.7%
2-19.3%
1-07.0%
1-26.8%
2-06.7%
2-26.5%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Zulimanit Yllatys

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Zulimanit win2.01Fair
Double chanceZulimanit or drawInfo
Total goalsOver 2.51.19Fair

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
04542
1710731
279731
34642
4232
51

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts Zulimanit at 46%. The model puts the draw at 20%. The model puts Yllatys at 35%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-1.

The market frames this as a close contest. Zulimanit is priced at 2.01. The draw is priced at 4.6. Yllatys is priced at 2.591.

The model gives 64% for both teams to score. The model gives 64% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Zulimanit or Yllatys?

Our model rates Zulimanit as the most likely outcome at 46% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Zulimanit vs Yllatys?

A scoreline around 2-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.

See odds at bookmakers

Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.