Zenit Saint Petersburg vs Neftchi Fergana: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Zenit Saint Petersburgvs
Neftchi FerganaThe model puts Zenit Saint Petersburg at 68%. Data on this fixture is limited, so the prediction carries extra uncertainty. Confidence: medium.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Zenit Saint Petersburg is priced at 1.38.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 4 | 1 | |||
| 1 | 15 | 8 | 2 | |||
| 2 | 15 | 9 | 2 | |||
| 3 | 11 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 6 | 3 | ||||
| 5 | 2 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Zenit Saint Petersburg at 68%. The model puts the draw at 18%. The model puts Neftchi Fergana at 14%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The market leans toward Zenit Saint Petersburg. Zenit Saint Petersburg is priced at 1.38. The draw is priced at 5.1. Neftchi Fergana is priced at 6.82.
The model gives 38% for both teams to score. The model gives 50% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Zenit Saint Petersburg or Neftchi Fergana?
Our model rates Zenit Saint Petersburg as the most likely outcome at 68% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Zenit Saint Petersburg vs Neftchi Fergana?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.