Spartak Moscow vs Rubin Kazan: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Spartak Moscowvs
Rubin KazanThe model puts Spartak Moscow at 62%. The model leans toward Spartak Moscow. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Spartak Moscow.
- +The head-to-head record favours Spartak Moscow (5-0-1).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Spartak Moscow have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Rubin Kazan have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Spartak Moscow have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Spartak Moscow is priced at 1.58.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | |||
| 1 | 14 | 9 | 3 | |||
| 2 | 14 | 9 | 3 | |||
| 3 | 9 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 2 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Spartak Moscow at 62%. The model puts the draw at 22%. The model puts Rubin Kazan at 16%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Spartak Moscow. Spartak Moscow is priced at 1.58. The draw is priced at 3.98. Rubin Kazan is priced at 5.45.
Spartak Moscow have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings. Rubin Kazan have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
Spartak Moscow have 4 wins in their last 5 matches. Spartak Moscow are on 3 wins in a row. Rubin Kazan have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 42% for both teams to score. The model gives 50% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Spartak Moscow or Rubin Kazan?
Our model rates Spartak Moscow as the most likely outcome at 62% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Spartak Moscow vs Rubin Kazan?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 5 Spartak Moscow wins, 0 draws, 1 Rubin Kazan wins.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.