Shanghai Segenda vs Shanghai Port: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Shanghai Segendavs
Shanghai PortThe model puts Shanghai Port at 77%. Data on this fixture is limited, so the prediction carries extra uncertainty. Confidence: medium.
Win probabilities
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Shanghai Port is priced at 1.176.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 17 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 3 |
| 1 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 1 |
| 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 3 | ||||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Shanghai Segenda at 8%. The model puts the draw at 15%. The model puts Shanghai Port at 77%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-2.
The market leans toward Shanghai Port. Shanghai Segenda is priced at 12.2. The draw is priced at 6. Shanghai Port is priced at 1.176.
The model gives 31% for both teams to score. The model gives 46% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Shanghai Segenda or Shanghai Port?
Our model rates Shanghai Port as the most likely outcome at 77% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Shanghai Segenda vs Shanghai Port?
A scoreline around 0-2 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Odds movement
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.