Shanxi Chongde Ronghai vs Qingdao West Coast: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Shanxi Chongde Ronghaivs
Qingdao West CoastThe model puts Qingdao West Coast at 63%. Data on this fixture is limited, so the prediction carries extra uncertainty. Confidence: medium.
Win probabilities
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Qingdao West Coast is priced at 1.43.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 |
| 1 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 3 | |
| 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | ||
| 3 | ||||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Shanxi Chongde Ronghai at 15%. The model puts the draw at 22%. The model puts Qingdao West Coast at 63%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Qingdao West Coast. Shanxi Chongde Ronghai is priced at 6.39. The draw is priced at 4.1. Qingdao West Coast is priced at 1.43.
The model gives 43% for both teams to score. The model gives 47% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Shanxi Chongde Ronghai or Qingdao West Coast?
Our model rates Qingdao West Coast as the most likely outcome at 63% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Shanxi Chongde Ronghai vs Qingdao West Coast?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Odds movement
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.