Guangdong GZ-Power vs Beijing Guoan: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Guangdong GZ-Powervs
Beijing GuoanThe model puts Beijing Guoan at 57%. Data on this fixture is limited, so the prediction carries extra uncertainty. Confidence: low.
Win probabilities
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Beijing Guoan is priced at 1.57.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 13 | 11 | 7 | 3 | |
| 1 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 2 | |
| 2 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 1 | 1 | ||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Guangdong GZ-Power at 19%. The model puts the draw at 24%. The model puts Beijing Guoan at 57%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Beijing Guoan. Guangdong GZ-Power is priced at 5.01. The draw is priced at 3.8. Beijing Guoan is priced at 1.57.
The model gives 47% for both teams to score. The model gives 47% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Guangdong GZ-Power or Beijing Guoan?
Our model rates Beijing Guoan as the most likely outcome at 57% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Guangdong GZ-Power vs Beijing Guoan?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Odds movement
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.