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China. FA Cup

Shenzhen Juniors vs Shenzhen Peng City: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Shenzhen Juniors Shenzhen JuniorsvsShenzhen Peng City Shenzhen Peng City
Our predictionShenzhen Peng City to win
Model score: Low · 24/100
Score hint: 0-1

The model puts Shenzhen Peng City at 51%. Data on this fixture is limited, so the prediction carries extra uncertainty. Confidence: low.

Win probabilities

1 · Shenzhen JuniorsDraw2 · Shenzhen Peng City
Full team comparison

Most likely scorelines

0-112.2%
1-112.0%
0-29.6%
1-29.5%
0-07.7%
1-07.6%
Team strength rating
Shenzhen Juniors
44
Shenzhen Peng City
61

Expected goals

0.98Shenzhen Juniors
xG
1.58Shenzhen Peng City
Over 2.5 goals47%
Both teams to score50%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Shenzhen Juniors Shenzhen Peng City

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Shenzhen Peng City win1.78Fair
Double chanceShenzhen Peng City or drawInfo

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
08121052
1812952
24652
3122
4
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

1X2Shenzhen Juniors4.12+0.7%
1X2Draw3.40-0.2%
1X2Shenzhen Peng City1.78-0.5%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Full analysis

The model puts Shenzhen Juniors at 23%. The model puts the draw at 27%. The model puts Shenzhen Peng City at 51%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.

The market leans toward Shenzhen Peng City. Shenzhen Juniors is priced at 4.12. The draw is priced at 3.4. Shenzhen Peng City is priced at 1.78.

The model gives 50% for both teams to score. The model gives 47% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Shenzhen Juniors or Shenzhen Peng City?

Our model rates Shenzhen Peng City as the most likely outcome at 51% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Shenzhen Juniors vs Shenzhen Peng City?

A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

See odds at bookmakers

Odds movement

4.333.673.012.351.69
Home 4.12 Draw 3.40 Away 1.78

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.