Qingdao Red Lions vs Wuhan Three Towns: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Qingdao Red Lionsvs
Wuhan Three TownsThe model puts Wuhan Three Towns at 55%. Data on this fixture is limited, so the prediction carries extra uncertainty. Confidence: low.
Win probabilities
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Wuhan Three Towns is priced at 1.635.
- The market leans toward Wuhan Three Towns.
- The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
- The model puts the draw at 25%.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 13 | 11 | 6 | 3 | |
| 1 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 2 | |
| 2 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 1 | 1 | ||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Wuhan Three Towns at 55%. The model puts Qingdao Red Lions at 20%. The model puts the draw at 25%.
Wuhan Three Towns is priced at 1.635. Qingdao Red Lions is priced at 4.725. The draw is priced at 3.62.
The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1. The model gives 47% for over 2.5 goals. The model gives 48% for both teams to score.
Data on this fixture is limited, so the prediction carries extra uncertainty.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Qingdao Red Lions or Wuhan Three Towns?
Our model rates Wuhan Three Towns as the most likely outcome at 55% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Qingdao Red Lions vs Wuhan Three Towns?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Odds movement
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.