Ningbo vs Chongqing Tongliangloong: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Ningbovs
Chongqing TongliangloongThe model puts Chongqing Tongliangloong at 60%. The model leans toward Chongqing Tongliangloong. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Ningbo.
- +The head-to-head record favours Chongqing Tongliangloong (0-1-3).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Ningbo have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Chongqing Tongliangloong have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Chongqing Tongliangloong is priced at 1.45.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 14 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 1 |
| 1 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 2 | |
| 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 1 | |||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Ningbo at 17%. The model puts the draw at 22%. The model puts Chongqing Tongliangloong at 60%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Chongqing Tongliangloong. Ningbo is priced at 6.77. The draw is priced at 3.82. Chongqing Tongliangloong is priced at 1.45.
Chongqing Tongliangloong have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Ningbo have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Chongqing Tongliangloong have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 45% for both teams to score. The model gives 47% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Ningbo or Chongqing Tongliangloong?
Our model rates Chongqing Tongliangloong as the most likely outcome at 60% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Ningbo vs Chongqing Tongliangloong?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 4 meetings: 0 Ningbo wins, 1 draws, 3 Chongqing Tongliangloong wins.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.