Wuxi Wugou vs Qingdao Hainiu: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Wuxi Wugouvs
Qingdao HainiuThe model puts Qingdao Hainiu at 41%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Qingdao Hainiu.
Win probabilities
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Wuxi Wugou have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Qingdao Hainiu have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Wuxi Wugou have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Qingdao Hainiu is priced at 2.32.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 1 | |
| 1 | 9 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 1 | |
| 2 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | |||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Wuxi Wugou at 31%. The model puts the draw at 28%. The model puts Qingdao Hainiu at 41%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market frames this as a close contest. Wuxi Wugou is priced at 2.848. The draw is priced at 3.15. Qingdao Hainiu is priced at 2.32.
Wuxi Wugou have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
Wuxi Wugou have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Qingdao Hainiu have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 53% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Wuxi Wugou or Qingdao Hainiu?
Our model rates Qingdao Hainiu as the most likely outcome at 41% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Wuxi Wugou vs Qingdao Hainiu?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 2 meetings: 2 Wuxi Wugou wins, 0 draws, 0 Qingdao Hainiu wins.
Odds movement
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.