Shijiazhuang Gongfu vs Shanghai Shenhua: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Shijiazhuang Gongfuvs
Shanghai ShenhuaThe model puts Shanghai Shenhua at 77%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1. Confidence: high.
Win probabilities
Expected goals
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Shijiazhuang Gongfu have 0 wins in their last 3 matches.
- Shanghai Shenhua is priced at 1.169.
- The model puts the draw at 17%.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 24 | 29 | 17 | 7 | 2 | |
| 1 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 2 | ||
| 2 | ||||||
| 3 | ||||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Shanghai Shenhua at 77%. The model leans toward Shanghai Shenhua.
Shijiazhuang Gongfu have 0 wins in their last 3 matches. The market leans toward Shanghai Shenhua.
The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1. The model gives 14% for both teams to score.
The model puts Shijiazhuang Gongfu at 6%. The model puts the draw at 17%.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Shijiazhuang Gongfu or Shanghai Shenhua?
Our model rates Shanghai Shenhua as the most likely outcome at 77% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Shijiazhuang Gongfu vs Shanghai Shenhua?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward under 2.5 goals.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.