Shanghai Zetian vs Chengdu Rongcheng: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Shanghai Zetianvs
Chengdu RongchengThe model puts Chengdu Rongcheng at 80%. Data on this fixture is limited, so the prediction carries extra uncertainty. Confidence: medium.
Win probabilities
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Chengdu Rongcheng is priced at 1.122.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 18 | 19 | 13 | 7 | 3 |
| 1 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | 1 | ||||
| 3 | ||||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Shanghai Zetian at 6%. The model puts the draw at 14%. The model puts Chengdu Rongcheng at 80%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-2.
The market leans toward Chengdu Rongcheng. Shanghai Zetian is priced at 17. The draw is priced at 6.3. Chengdu Rongcheng is priced at 1.122.
The model gives 27% for both teams to score. The model gives 46% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Shanghai Zetian or Chengdu Rongcheng?
Our model rates Chengdu Rongcheng as the most likely outcome at 80% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Shanghai Zetian vs Chengdu Rongcheng?
A scoreline around 0-2 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.