Suzhou Dongwu vs Yunnan Yukun: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Suzhou Dongwuvs
Yunnan YukunThe model puts Yunnan Yukun at 74%. Yunnan Yukun is priced at 1.22. Confidence: high.
Win probabilities
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Yunnan Yukun have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Suzhou Dongwu have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- The model's most likely scoreline is 0-2.
- The model leans toward Yunnan Yukun.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 16 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 2 |
| 1 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 1 |
| 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 3 | ||||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
Yunnan Yukun have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Suzhou Dongwu have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
Suzhou Dongwu have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
The model's most likely scoreline is 0-2. The model gives 34% for both teams to score. The model gives 46% for over 2.5 goals.
The market leans toward Yunnan Yukun. Suzhou Dongwu is priced at 10.3.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Suzhou Dongwu or Yunnan Yukun?
Our model rates Yunnan Yukun as the most likely outcome at 74% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Suzhou Dongwu vs Yunnan Yukun?
A scoreline around 0-2 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 2 meetings: 1 Suzhou Dongwu wins, 1 draws, 0 Yunnan Yukun wins.
Odds movement
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.