Lindo vs Smedby: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Lindovs
SmedbyThe model puts Lindo at 40%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Lindo.
- +The head-to-head record favours Lindo (3-0-0).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Lindo have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Smedby have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Lindo have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Lindo is priced at 2.44.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 3 | ||
| 2 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 4 | 4 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 1 | 2 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Lindo at 40%. The model puts the draw at 25%. The model puts Smedby at 35%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market frames this as a close contest. Lindo is priced at 2.44. The draw is priced at 3.45. Smedby is priced at 2.42.
Lindo have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings.
Lindo have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Lindo are on 2 wins in a row. Smedby have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 53% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Lindo or Smedby?
Our model rates Lindo as the most likely outcome at 40% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Lindo vs Smedby?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 3 meetings: 3 Lindo wins, 0 draws, 0 Smedby wins.
Odds movement
League table
Sweden. Division 2. Southern Svealand| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Nykopings BIS | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 23:11 | 26 |
| 2 |  BK Forward | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 27:17 | 26 |
| 3 |  IFK Haninge | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 30:25 | 25 |
| 4 |  Sleipner | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 25:20 | 25 |
| 5 | Smedby | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 29:19 | 23 |
| 6 |  FOK Farsta | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 26:16 | 22 |
| 7 |  Ragsveds IF | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 29:21 | 22 |
| 8 |  Fittja | 13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 25:25 | 19 |
| 9 |  Eker Orebro | 13 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 16:32 | 14 |
| 10 |  Orebro Syrianska | 13 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 13:16 | 13 |
| 11 | Lindo | 13 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 19:23 | 13 |
| 12 |  Karlslunds | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 13:21 | 12 |
| 13 |  Syrianska | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 20:32 | 12 |
| 14 |  Nacka | 13 | 2 | 10 | 1 | 12:29 | 7 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.