Rosenborg vs Kristiansund BK: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Rosenborgvs
Kristiansund BKThe model puts Rosenborg at 58%. The model leans toward Rosenborg. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Rosenborg.
- −The head-to-head record favours Kristiansund BK (1-2-3).
- −Rosenborg are dealing with notable absentees.
- +Kristiansund BK are dealing with notable absentees.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Rosenborg have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Kristiansund BK have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Rosenborg have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Rosenborg will be without Nordli, Slordal, Witry.
- Kristiansund BK will be without Bruseth, Tufekcic.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | |||
| 1 | 13 | 10 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 12 | 10 | 4 | |||
| 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 1 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Rosenborg at 58%. The model puts the draw at 21%. The model puts Kristiansund BK at 21%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Rosenborg. Rosenborg is priced at 1.648. The draw is priced at 4.04. Kristiansund BK is priced at 5.
Rosenborg have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. Kristiansund BK have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 2 of their head-to-head meetings.
Rosenborg have 4 wins in their last 5 matches. Rosenborg are on 2 wins in a row. Kristiansund BK have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 45% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Rosenborg or Kristiansund BK?
Our model rates Rosenborg as the most likely outcome at 58% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Rosenborg vs Kristiansund BK?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 1 Rosenborg wins, 2 draws, 3 Kristiansund BK wins.
Match statistics
Rosenborg
- 1Wahlstedt
- 2Rusten
- 3Dal
- 6Vaananen
- 9Islamovic
- 10Selnaes
- 15Mortensen
- 17Bomholt
- 18Chiakha
- 21Nemcik T.
- 35Ceide
- Nordli (Questionable)
- Slordal (Missing Player)
- Witry (Missing Player)
Kristiansund BK
- 3Flex
- 4Juliusson
- 6Isaksen J.
- 7Isa
- 9Kilen
- 12Saether
- 13Munksgaard
- 17Williamsen
- 19Alvheim
- 20Ygor
- 27Ronning
- Bruseth (Questionable)
- Tufekcic (Questionable)
League table
Norway. Eliteserien| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Viking | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 29:10 | 27 |
| 2 |  Tromso | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 18:14 | 25 |
| 3 |  Bodo-Glimt | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 28:11 | 23 |
| 4 |  Lillestrom | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 17:11 | 19 |
| 5 |  Molde | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 18:13 | 19 |
| 6 |  HamKam | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17:16 | 17 |
| 7 |  Sarpsborg 08 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 13:16 | 14 |
| 8 |  Sandefjord | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 10:13 | 14 |
| 9 |  Valerenga | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 13:17 | 14 |
| 10 |  Fredrikstad | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 15:20 | 14 |
| 11 |  Brann | 12 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 24:20 | 13 |
| 12 |  KFUM-Kameratene | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 12:17 | 12 |
| 13 |  Aalesunds | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 15:20 | 11 |
| 14 | Kristiansund BK | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 11:18 | 11 |
| 15 | Rosenborg | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 9:18 | 9 |
| 16 |  IK Start | 12 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 13:28 | 7 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.