Sandefjord vs HamKam: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Sandefjordvs
HamKamThe model puts Sandefjord at 53%. The model leans toward Sandefjord. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Sandefjord.
- +The head-to-head record favours Sandefjord (4-1-1).
- −Sandefjord are dealing with notable absentees.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Sandefjord have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- HamKam have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Sandefjord have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Sandefjord will be without Alte, Dunsby, Hadaya, Krogelien, Bjune.
- Sandefjord is priced at 1.875.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 6 | 3 | |||
| 1 | 13 | 11 | 5 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 7 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Sandefjord at 53%. The model puts the draw at 23%. The model puts HamKam at 23%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Sandefjord. Sandefjord is priced at 1.875. The draw is priced at 3.72. HamKam is priced at 3.98.
Sandefjord have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings. HamKam have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Sandefjord have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. HamKam have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 48% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Sandefjord or HamKam?
Our model rates Sandefjord as the most likely outcome at 53% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Sandefjord vs HamKam?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 4 Sandefjord wins, 1 draws, 1 HamKam wins.
League table
Norway. Eliteserien| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Viking | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 29:10 | 27 |
| 2 |  Tromso | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 18:14 | 25 |
| 3 |  Bodo-Glimt | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 28:11 | 23 |
| 4 |  Lillestrom | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 17:11 | 19 |
| 5 |  Molde | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 18:13 | 19 |
| 6 | HamKam | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17:16 | 17 |
| 7 |  Sarpsborg 08 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 13:16 | 14 |
| 8 | Sandefjord | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 10:13 | 14 |
| 9 |  Valerenga | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 13:17 | 14 |
| 10 |  Fredrikstad | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 15:20 | 14 |
| 11 |  Brann | 12 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 24:20 | 13 |
| 12 |  KFUM-Kameratene | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 12:17 | 12 |
| 13 |  Aalesunds | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 15:20 | 11 |
| 14 |  Kristiansund BK | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 11:18 | 11 |
| 15 |  Rosenborg | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 9:18 | 9 |
| 16 |  IK Start | 12 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 13:28 | 7 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.