Nykopings BIS vs Nacka: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Nykopings BISvs
NackaThe model puts Nykopings BIS at 67%. The model leans toward Nykopings BIS. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −The head-to-head record favours Nacka (0-1-4).
Win probabilities
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Nykopings BIS have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Nacka have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Nykopings BIS is priced at 1.32.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 4 | 1 | |||
| 1 | 15 | 8 | 2 | |||
| 2 | 15 | 9 | 2 | |||
| 3 | 11 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 6 | 3 | ||||
| 5 | 2 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Nykopings BIS at 67%. The model puts the draw at 19%. The model puts Nacka at 14%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The market leans toward Nykopings BIS. Nykopings BIS is priced at 1.32. The draw is priced at 4.65. Nacka is priced at 7.7.
Nacka have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Nykopings BIS have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Nacka have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 38% for both teams to score. The model gives 50% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Nykopings BIS or Nacka?
Our model rates Nykopings BIS as the most likely outcome at 67% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Nykopings BIS vs Nacka?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 5 meetings: 0 Nykopings BIS wins, 1 draws, 4 Nacka wins.
League table
Sweden. Division 2. Southern Svealand| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nykopings BIS | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 23:11 | 26 |
| 2 |  BK Forward | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 27:17 | 26 |
| 3 |  IFK Haninge | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 30:25 | 25 |
| 4 |  Sleipner | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 25:20 | 25 |
| 5 |  Smedby | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 29:21 | 23 |
| 6 |  FOK Farsta | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 26:16 | 22 |
| 7 |  Ragsveds IF | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 29:21 | 22 |
| 8 |  Fittja | 13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 25:25 | 19 |
| 9 |  Lindo | 14 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 21:23 | 16 |
| 10 |  Eker Orebro | 13 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 16:32 | 14 |
| 11 |  Orebro Syrianska | 13 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 13:16 | 13 |
| 12 |  Karlslunds | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 13:21 | 12 |
| 13 |  Syrianska | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 20:32 | 12 |
| 14 | Nacka | 13 | 2 | 10 | 1 | 12:29 | 7 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.