Coimbra vs Aymores: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Coimbravs
AymoresThe model puts Aymores at 36%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Aymores.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Coimbra have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Aymores have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Coimbra have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Aymores is priced at 2.68.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 10 | 13 | 8 | 3 | 1 | |
| 2 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 1 | 1 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Coimbra at 34%. The model puts the draw at 30%. The model puts Aymores at 36%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market frames this as a close contest. Coimbra is priced at 2.57. The draw is priced at 2.85. Aymores is priced at 2.68.
Coimbra have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Coimbra have 0 wins in their last 5 matches. Aymores have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 53% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Coimbra or Aymores?
Our model rates Aymores as the most likely outcome at 36% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Coimbra vs Aymores?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 2 meetings: 1 Coimbra wins, 1 draws, 0 Aymores wins.
Odds movement
League table
Brazil. Campeonato Mineiro. Division 2| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Uberaba | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:6 | 11 |
| 2 |  Boa Esporte Clube | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4:3 | 9 |
| 3 |  CA Patrocinense | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:5 | 8 |
| 4 |  EC Mamore | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5:6 | 7 |
| 5 |  Associacao Atletica Caldense | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2:4 | 6 |
| 6 |  Guarani EC Minas Gerais | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5:8 | 5 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.