Holland Park Hawks vs Redlands United: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Holland Park Hawksvs
Redlands UnitedThe model puts Redlands United at 44%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −The head-to-head record favours Holland Park Hawks (3-0-0).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Holland Park Hawks have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Redlands United have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Holland Park Hawks have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Redlands United is priced at 2.01.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 1 | |
| 1 | 9 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 1 | |
| 2 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | |||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Holland Park Hawks at 33%. The model puts the draw at 23%. The model puts Redlands United at 44%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Redlands United. Holland Park Hawks is priced at 2.873. The draw is priced at 3.9. Redlands United is priced at 2.01.
Holland Park Hawks have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings.
Holland Park Hawks have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Redlands United have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 52% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Holland Park Hawks or Redlands United?
Our model rates Redlands United as the most likely outcome at 44% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Holland Park Hawks vs Redlands United?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 3 meetings: 3 Holland Park Hawks wins, 0 draws, 0 Redlands United wins.
League table
Australia. Queensland Premier League| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Broadbeach United | 15 | 13 | 0 | 2 | 43:14 | 41 |
| 2 |  Brisbane Strikers | 15 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 38:12 | 36 |
| 3 |  Ipswich FC | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 24:20 | 27 |
| 4 |  Sunshine Coast Wanderers | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 34:21 | 25 |
| 5 |  Robina City | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 28:20 | 23 |
| 6 |  Caboolture | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 30:27 | 23 |
| 7 | Holland Park Hawks | 15 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 25:26 | 22 |
| 8 | Redlands United | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 27:24 | 18 |
| 9 |  Logan Lightning | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 22:26 | 17 |
| 10 |  North Star | 15 | 3 | 10 | 2 | 15:33 | 11 |
| 11 |  Capalaba | 15 | 2 | 12 | 1 | 15:45 | 7 |
| 12 |  Sent-George Willawong | 15 | 1 | 13 | 1 | 6:39 | 4 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.