Racing Club de Avellaneda vs Defensa y Justicia: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Racing Club de Avellanedavs
Defensa y JusticiaThe model puts Racing Club de Avellaneda at 56%. The model leans toward Racing Club de Avellaneda. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Racing Club de Avellaneda.
- +The head-to-head record favours Racing Club de Avellaneda (3-3-0).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Racing Club de Avellaneda have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Defensa y Justicia have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Racing Club de Avellaneda have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Racing Club de Avellaneda is priced at 1.805.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | |||
| 1 | 13 | 10 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 12 | 10 | 4 | |||
| 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 1 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Racing Club de Avellaneda at 56%. The model puts the draw at 26%. The model puts Defensa y Justicia at 19%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Racing Club de Avellaneda. Racing Club de Avellaneda is priced at 1.805. The draw is priced at 3.42. Defensa y Justicia is priced at 4.72.
Racing Club de Avellaneda have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 3 of their head-to-head meetings.
Racing Club de Avellaneda have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Defensa y Justicia have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 46% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Racing Club de Avellaneda or Defensa y Justicia?
Our model rates Racing Club de Avellaneda as the most likely outcome at 56% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Racing Club de Avellaneda vs Defensa y Justicia?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 3 Racing Club de Avellaneda wins, 3 draws, 0 Defensa y Justicia wins.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.