River Plate Buenos Aires vs CA Aldosivi: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
River Plate Buenos Airesvs
CA AldosiviThe model puts River Plate Buenos Aires at 68%. The model leans toward River Plate Buenos Aires. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours River Plate Buenos Aires.
- +The head-to-head record favours River Plate Buenos Aires (6-0-0).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- River Plate Buenos Aires have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- CA Aldosivi have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- River Plate Buenos Aires have won 6 of the head-to-head meetings.
- River Plate Buenos Aires is priced at 1.438.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 4 | ||||
| 1 | 15 | 8 | 2 | |||
| 2 | 16 | 8 | 2 | |||
| 3 | 11 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 6 | 3 | ||||
| 5 | 3 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts River Plate Buenos Aires at 68%. The model puts the draw at 20%. The model puts CA Aldosivi at 12%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The market leans toward River Plate Buenos Aires. River Plate Buenos Aires is priced at 1.438. The draw is priced at 4.305. CA Aldosivi is priced at 7.65.
River Plate Buenos Aires have won 6 of the head-to-head meetings.
River Plate Buenos Aires have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. CA Aldosivi have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 37% for both teams to score. The model gives 50% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, River Plate Buenos Aires or CA Aldosivi?
Our model rates River Plate Buenos Aires as the most likely outcome at 68% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for River Plate Buenos Aires vs CA Aldosivi?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 6 River Plate Buenos Aires wins, 0 draws, 0 CA Aldosivi wins.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.