Independiente Rivadavia vs Club Atletico Tigre: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Independiente Rivadaviavs
Club Atletico TigreThe model puts Independiente Rivadavia at 40%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Club Atletico Tigre.
- −The head-to-head record favours Club Atletico Tigre (1-1-4).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Independiente Rivadavia have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Club Atletico Tigre have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Independiente Rivadavia have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Independiente Rivadavia is priced at 2.246.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 3 | ||
| 2 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 4 | 5 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Independiente Rivadavia at 40%. The model puts the draw at 31%. The model puts Club Atletico Tigre at 29%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market frames this as a close contest. Independiente Rivadavia is priced at 2.246. The draw is priced at 2.834. Club Atletico Tigre is priced at 3.84.
Independiente Rivadavia have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. Club Atletico Tigre have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Independiente Rivadavia have 0 wins in their last 5 matches. Club Atletico Tigre have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Club Atletico Tigre are on 3 wins in a row.
The model gives 52% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Independiente Rivadavia or Club Atletico Tigre?
Our model rates Independiente Rivadavia as the most likely outcome at 40% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Independiente Rivadavia vs Club Atletico Tigre?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 1 Independiente Rivadavia wins, 1 draws, 4 Club Atletico Tigre wins.
Odds movement
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.