USA vs Bosnia and Herzegovina: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
USAvs
Bosnia and HerzegovinaThe model puts USA at 63%. The model leans toward USA. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours USA.
- +The head-to-head record favours USA (2-1-0).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Expected goals
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- USA have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Bosnia and Herzegovina have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- USA have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
- USA is priced at 1.51.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 1 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 9 | 9 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 4 | 6 | 5 | 3 | |||
| 5 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts USA at 63%. The model puts the draw at 21%. The model puts Bosnia and Herzegovina at 16%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The market leans toward USA. USA is priced at 1.51. The draw is priced at 4.45. Bosnia and Herzegovina is priced at 7.1.
USA have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
USA have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Bosnia and Herzegovina have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
USA average 3 goals per game this season. USA average 64% possession. Bosnia and Herzegovina average 1 goals per game this season. Bosnia and Herzegovina average 38% possession.
The model gives 58% for both teams to score. The model gives 71% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, USA or Bosnia and Herzegovina?
Our model rates USA as the most likely outcome at 63% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for USA vs Bosnia and Herzegovina?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 3 meetings: 2 USA wins, 1 draws, 0 Bosnia and Herzegovina wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.