Aguia de Maraba vs Parnahyba: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Aguia de Marabavs
ParnahybaThe model puts Aguia de Maraba at 60%. The model leans toward Aguia de Maraba. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Parnahyba.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Aguia de Maraba have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Parnahyba have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Aguia de Maraba have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Aguia de Maraba is priced at 1.47.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | |||
| 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | |||
| 2 | 13 | 9 | 3 | |||
| 3 | 9 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 2 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Aguia de Maraba at 60%. The model puts the draw at 22%. The model puts Parnahyba at 18%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Aguia de Maraba. Aguia de Maraba is priced at 1.47. The draw is priced at 3.92. Parnahyba is priced at 6.03.
Aguia de Maraba have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
Aguia de Maraba have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Parnahyba have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 44% for both teams to score. The model gives 50% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Aguia de Maraba or Parnahyba?
Our model rates Aguia de Maraba as the most likely outcome at 60% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Aguia de Maraba vs Parnahyba?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 1 Aguia de Maraba wins, 0 draws, 0 Parnahyba wins.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.