Trem vs Sampaio Correa: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Tremvs
Sampaio CorreaThe model puts Trem at 37%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Trem.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Trem have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Sampaio Correa have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Trem is priced at 2.68.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 3 | ||
| 2 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 1 | 1 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Trem at 37%. The model puts the draw at 27%. The model puts Sampaio Correa at 36%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market frames this as a close contest. Trem is priced at 2.68. The draw is priced at 3.125. Sampaio Correa is priced at 2.39.
Sampaio Correa have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
Trem have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Trem are on 3 wins in a row. Sampaio Correa have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 53% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Trem or Sampaio Correa?
Our model rates Trem as the most likely outcome at 37% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Trem vs Sampaio Correa?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 0 Trem wins, 0 draws, 1 Sampaio Correa wins.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.