Yenisey Krasnoyarsk II vs Baltika Kaliningrad II: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Yenisey Krasnoyarsk IIvs
Baltika Kaliningrad IIThe model puts Baltika Kaliningrad II at 59%. The model leans toward Baltika Kaliningrad II. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Baltika Kaliningrad II.
- +The head-to-head record favours Baltika Kaliningrad II (1-1-4).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Yenisey Krasnoyarsk II have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Baltika Kaliningrad II have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Yenisey Krasnoyarsk II have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Baltika Kaliningrad II is priced at 1.59.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 13 | 12 | 7 | 3 | |
| 1 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 2 | |
| 2 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 1 | 1 | ||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Yenisey Krasnoyarsk II at 19%. The model puts the draw at 22%. The model puts Baltika Kaliningrad II at 59%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Baltika Kaliningrad II. Yenisey Krasnoyarsk II is priced at 4.57. The draw is priced at 3.94. Baltika Kaliningrad II is priced at 1.59.
Yenisey Krasnoyarsk II have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. Baltika Kaliningrad II have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Yenisey Krasnoyarsk II have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Baltika Kaliningrad II have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 46% for both teams to score. The model gives 47% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Yenisey Krasnoyarsk II or Baltika Kaliningrad II?
Our model rates Baltika Kaliningrad II as the most likely outcome at 59% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Yenisey Krasnoyarsk II vs Baltika Kaliningrad II?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 1 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk II wins, 1 draws, 4 Baltika Kaliningrad II wins.
League table
Russian Championship. League 2. Division B. Group 2| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Dynamo Saint Petersburg | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 23:3 | 31 |
| 2 |  Luki-Energy | 12 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 19:7 | 26 |
| 3 |  Chertanovo | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 23:9 | 26 |
| 4 |  Murom | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 21:8 | 25 |
| 5 | Baltika Kaliningrad II | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 19:14 | 22 |
| 6 |  Torpedo Vladimir | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 13:11 | 20 |
| 7 |  Cherepovets | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 17:16 | 19 |
| 8 |  Dynamo Vologda | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 14:15 | 14 |
| 9 |  Spartak Moscow II | 13 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 14:20 | 14 |
| 10 |  Zvezda Saint Petersburg | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12:18 | 12 |
| 11 |  Tver | 13 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 15:25 | 10 |
| 12 |  Iskra Smolensk | 13 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 11:26 | 10 |
| 13 |  Cosmos Khimki | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 13:21 | 10 |
| 14 | Yenisey Krasnoyarsk II | 12 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 13:22 | 10 |
| 15 |  Irkutsk | 12 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 10:22 | 10 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.