Dynamo Saint Petersburg vs Torpedo Vladimir: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
The model puts Dynamo Saint Petersburg at 57%. The model leans toward Dynamo Saint Petersburg. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Torpedo Vladimir.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Dynamo Saint Petersburg have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Torpedo Vladimir have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Dynamo Saint Petersburg have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Dynamo Saint Petersburg is priced at 1.55.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 1 | 13 | 10 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 12 | 10 | 4 | |||
| 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 1 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Dynamo Saint Petersburg at 57%. The model puts the draw at 23%. The model puts Torpedo Vladimir at 20%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Dynamo Saint Petersburg. Dynamo Saint Petersburg is priced at 1.55. The draw is priced at 3.82. Torpedo Vladimir is priced at 5.13.
Dynamo Saint Petersburg have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. Torpedo Vladimir have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Dynamo Saint Petersburg have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Torpedo Vladimir have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 46% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Dynamo Saint Petersburg or Torpedo Vladimir?
Our model rates Dynamo Saint Petersburg as the most likely outcome at 57% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Dynamo Saint Petersburg vs Torpedo Vladimir?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 3 meetings: 1 Dynamo Saint Petersburg wins, 1 draws, 1 Torpedo Vladimir wins.
League table
Russian Championship. League 2. Division B. Group 2| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 23:3 | 31 | |
| 2 | 12 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 19:7 | 26 | |
| 3 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 23:9 | 26 | |
| 4 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 21:8 | 25 | |
| 5 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 19:14 | 22 | |
| 6 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 13:11 | 20 | |
| 7 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 17:16 | 19 | |
| 8 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 14:15 | 14 | |
| 9 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 14:20 | 14 | |
| 10 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12:18 | 12 | |
| 11 | 13 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 15:25 | 10 | |
| 12 | 13 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 11:26 | 10 | |
| 13 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 13:21 | 10 | |
| 14 | 12 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 13:22 | 10 | |
| 15 | 12 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 10:22 | 10 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.