Cosmos Khimki vs Irkutsk: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Cosmos Khimkivs
IrkutskThe model puts Cosmos Khimki at 50%. The model leans toward Cosmos Khimki. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Irkutsk.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Cosmos Khimki have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Irkutsk have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Cosmos Khimki have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Cosmos Khimki is priced at 1.76.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 7 | 3 | |||
| 1 | 12 | 11 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 6 | 5 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Cosmos Khimki at 50%. The model puts the draw at 23%. The model puts Irkutsk at 26%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Cosmos Khimki. Cosmos Khimki is priced at 1.76. The draw is priced at 3.72. Irkutsk is priced at 3.785.
Cosmos Khimki have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Cosmos Khimki have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Cosmos Khimki are on 2 wins in a row. Irkutsk have 4 wins in their last 5 matches. Irkutsk are on 4 wins in a row.
The model gives 50% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Cosmos Khimki or Irkutsk?
Our model rates Cosmos Khimki as the most likely outcome at 50% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Cosmos Khimki vs Irkutsk?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 2 meetings: 1 Cosmos Khimki wins, 1 draws, 0 Irkutsk wins.
League table
Russian Championship. League 2. Division B. Group 2| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Dynamo Saint Petersburg | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 23:3 | 31 |
| 2 |  Luki-Energy | 12 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 19:7 | 26 |
| 3 |  Chertanovo | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 23:9 | 26 |
| 4 |  Murom | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 21:8 | 25 |
| 5 |  Baltika Kaliningrad II | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 19:14 | 22 |
| 6 |  Torpedo Vladimir | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 13:11 | 20 |
| 7 |  Cherepovets | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 17:16 | 19 |
| 8 |  Dynamo Vologda | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 14:15 | 14 |
| 9 |  Spartak Moscow II | 13 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 14:20 | 14 |
| 10 |  Zvezda Saint Petersburg | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12:18 | 12 |
| 11 |  Tver | 13 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 15:25 | 10 |
| 12 |  Iskra Smolensk | 13 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 11:26 | 10 |
| 13 | Cosmos Khimki | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 13:21 | 10 |
| 14 |  Yenisey Krasnoyarsk II | 12 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 13:22 | 10 |
| 15 | Irkutsk | 12 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 10:22 | 10 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.