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World Cup 2026

Ivory Coast vs Norway: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Ivory Coast Ivory CoastvsNorway Norway
Our predictionNorway to win
Model score: Low · 31/100
Score hint: 1-2

The model puts Norway at 50%. The model leans toward Norway. Confidence: low.

Win probabilities

1 · Ivory CoastDraw2 · Norway
Full team comparison

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

BTTSYes1.73+21.6%
1X2Ivory Coast4.040.0%
1X2Draw3.840.0%
1X2Norway1.970.0%
BTTSNo2.02-21.6%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Expected goals

1.64Ivory Coast
xG
2.76Norway
Over 2.5 goals81%
Both teams to score75%
Team strength rating
Ivory Coast
45
Norway
60

Most likely scorelines

1-27.7%
1-37.1%
2-26.3%
2-35.8%
1-15.6%
1-44.9%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Ivory Coast Norway

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Norway win1.97Fair
Double chanceNorway or drawInfo

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
0135432
1268753
2256642
323321
4111
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts Ivory Coast at 24%. The model puts the draw at 26%. The model puts Norway at 50%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-2.

The market leans toward Norway. Ivory Coast is priced at 4.04. The draw is priced at 3.84. Norway is priced at 1.971.

Ivory Coast average 1 goals per game this season. Ivory Coast average 48% possession. Norway average 4 goals per game this season. Norway average 61% possession.

The model gives 75% for both teams to score. The model gives 81% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Ivory Coast or Norway?

Our model rates Norway as the most likely outcome at 50% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Ivory Coast vs Norway?

A scoreline around 1-2 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.

See odds at bookmakers

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.