Ivory Coast vs Norway: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
The model puts Norway at 50%. The model leans toward Norway. Confidence: low.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Norway is priced at 1.971.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2 |
| 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 3 |
| 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 2 |
| 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | |
| 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Ivory Coast at 24%. The model puts the draw at 26%. The model puts Norway at 50%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-2.
The market leans toward Norway. Ivory Coast is priced at 4.04. The draw is priced at 3.84. Norway is priced at 1.971.
Ivory Coast average 1 goals per game this season. Ivory Coast average 48% possession. Norway average 4 goals per game this season. Norway average 61% possession.
The model gives 75% for both teams to score. The model gives 81% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Ivory Coast or Norway?
Our model rates Norway as the most likely outcome at 50% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Ivory Coast vs Norway?
A scoreline around 1-2 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.