Arsenal Tula II vs Salyut Belgorod: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Arsenal Tula IIvs
Salyut BelgorodThe model puts Salyut Belgorod at 51%. The model leans toward Salyut Belgorod. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Salyut Belgorod.
- +The head-to-head record favours Salyut Belgorod (1-1-4).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Arsenal Tula II have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Salyut Belgorod have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Arsenal Tula II have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Salyut Belgorod is priced at 1.91.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 2 | |
| 1 | 7 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 2 | |
| 2 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Arsenal Tula II at 21%. The model puts the draw at 28%. The model puts Salyut Belgorod at 51%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Salyut Belgorod. Arsenal Tula II is priced at 4.145. The draw is priced at 2.97. Salyut Belgorod is priced at 1.91.
Arsenal Tula II have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. Salyut Belgorod have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Arsenal Tula II have 0 wins in their last 5 matches. Salyut Belgorod have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Salyut Belgorod are on 2 wins in a row.
The model gives 49% for both teams to score. The model gives 47% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Arsenal Tula II or Salyut Belgorod?
Our model rates Salyut Belgorod as the most likely outcome at 51% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Arsenal Tula II vs Salyut Belgorod?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 1 Arsenal Tula II wins, 1 draws, 4 Salyut Belgorod wins.
League table
Russian Championship. League 2. Division B. Group 3| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Volna Kovernino | 14 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 33:5 | 39 |
| 2 |  Spartak Tambov | 14 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 26:7 | 37 |
| 3 |  Shumbrat Saransk | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 28:15 | 31 |
| 4 |  Metallurg Lipetsk | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 29:17 | 27 |
| 5 |  Avangard Kursk | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 20:15 | 23 |
| 6 |  Ryazan | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 18:12 | 21 |
| 7 |  Saturn Ramenskoye | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 18:21 | 21 |
| 8 |  Oryol | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 22:23 | 19 |
| 9 | Salyut Belgorod | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 18:14 | 18 |
| 10 |  Rodina Moscow III | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 26:23 | 17 |
| 11 |  SKA-Khabarovsk II | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 25:26 | 17 |
| 12 |  Zenit Penza | 14 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 16:33 | 11 |
| 13 |  Rotor Volgograd II | 14 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 10:23 | 10 |
| 14 | Arsenal Tula II | 13 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 14:25 | 10 |
| 15 |  Strogino Moscow | 14 | 2 | 9 | 3 | 14:28 | 9 |
| 16 |  Kvant Obninsk | 14 | 0 | 12 | 2 | 11:41 | 2 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.