Colombia vs Ghana: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Colombiavs
GhanaThe model puts Colombia at 54%. The model leans toward Colombia. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Colombia.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Match DNA
Key points
- Colombia have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Ghana have 1 wins in their last 3 matches.
- Colombia is priced at 1.87.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11 | 8 | 3 | |||
| 1 | 16 | 12 | 4 | |||
| 2 | 13 | 9 | 3 | |||
| 3 | 6 | 5 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Colombia at 54%. The model puts the draw at 28%. The model puts Ghana at 17%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Colombia. Colombia is priced at 1.87. The draw is priced at 3.37. Ghana is priced at 5.43.
Colombia have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Ghana have 1 wins in their last 3 matches.
The model gives 40% for both teams to score. The model gives 39% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Colombia or Ghana?
Our model rates Colombia as the most likely outcome at 54% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Colombia vs Ghana?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward under 2.5 goals.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.