Switzerland vs Algeria: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Switzerlandvs
AlgeriaThe model puts Switzerland at 53%. The model leans toward Switzerland. Confidence: low.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Switzerland is priced at 1.85.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | |||
| 1 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 4 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Switzerland at 53%. The model puts the draw at 27%. The model puts Algeria at 20%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-1.
The market leans toward Switzerland. Switzerland is priced at 1.85. The draw is priced at 3.705. Algeria is priced at 4.875.
Switzerland average 3 goals per game this season. Switzerland average 59% possession. Algeria average 1 goals per game this season. Algeria average 61% possession.
The model gives 64% for both teams to score. The model gives 71% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Switzerland or Algeria?
Our model rates Switzerland as the most likely outcome at 53% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Switzerland vs Algeria?
A scoreline around 2-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.