USA. MLS

Los Angeles Galaxy vs Los Angeles: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

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Los Angeles Galaxyvs

Los Angeles

Our predictionLos Angeles to win

Model score: Low · 31/100

Score hint: 0-1

The model puts Los Angeles at 43%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1. Confidence: low.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

−Recent form favours Los Angeles Galaxy.
+The head-to-head record favours Los Angeles (1-2-3).
+Los Angeles Galaxy are dealing with notable absentees.
−Los Angeles are dealing with notable absentees.

Win probabilities

1 · Los Angeles Galaxy34%Draw23%2 · Los Angeles43%

1 · Los Angeles GalaxyDraw2 · Los Angeles

Full team comparison →

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

1X2Los Angeles Galaxy3.02+2.7%

1X2Los Angeles2.19-0.4%

1X2Draw3.78-2.2%

Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Expected goals

1.03Los Angeles Galaxy

1.11Los Angeles

Over 2.5 goals36%

Both teams to score43%

Recent form

Los Angeles GalaxyLWDWL

Los AngelesLLLLW

Team strength rating

Los Angeles Galaxy

Los Angeles

Most likely scorelines

1-113.5%

0-113.1%

1-012.1%

0-011.8%

1-27.5%

0-27.3%

Match DNA

Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles

Key points

Los Angeles have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings.
Los Angeles have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
Los Angeles Galaxy have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model sees this as a close contest.
The market frames this as a close contest.

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment

1X2Los Angeles win2.19Fair

Double chanceLos Angeles or draw—Info

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A	0	1	2	3
0	12	13	7	3
1	12	13	7	3
2	6	7	4	1
3	2	2	1
4
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

Los Angeles have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 2 of their head-to-head meetings. Los Angeles Galaxy have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.

Los Angeles have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Los Angeles Galaxy have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.

Los Angeles Galaxy average 1 goals per game this season. Los Angeles average 1 goals per game this season. Los Angeles Galaxy take 14 shots per game. Los Angeles take 14 shots per game.

Los Angeles Galaxy will be without Garces Torres, Klauss De Mello, Puig R.. Los Angeles will be without Dellavalle L., Igor Jesus Maciel da Cruz, Palencia S..

The model puts Los Angeles at 43%. The model puts Los Angeles Galaxy at 34%. The model puts the draw at 23%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1. The model gives 43% for both teams to score.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track Record →Methodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Los Angeles Galaxy or Los Angeles?

Our model rates Los Angeles as the most likely outcome at 43% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Los Angeles Galaxy vs Los Angeles?

A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

What's the head-to-head record?

In the last 6 meetings: 1 Los Angeles Galaxy wins, 2 draws, 3 Los Angeles wins.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The indicators lean toward under 2.5 goals.

See odds at bookmakers

Odds movement

Home 3.01 Draw 3.78 Away 2.19

Match statistics

Player of the matchTillmanLos Angeles9.0