Zalgiris Kaunas vs KF Drita: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Zalgiris Kaunasvs
KF DritaThe model puts Zalgiris Kaunas at 50%. The model leans toward Zalgiris Kaunas. Confidence: medium.
Win probabilities
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Match DNA
Key points
- Zalgiris Kaunas is priced at 1.88.
- The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
- The model puts the draw at 27%.
- The model gives 35% for both teams to score.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 15 | 10 | 3 | |||
| 1 | 19 | 12 | 4 | |||
| 2 | 12 | 8 | 3 | |||
| 3 | 5 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 1 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Zalgiris Kaunas at 50%. The model puts KF Drita at 23%.
Zalgiris Kaunas is priced at 1.88. KF Drita is priced at 4.03. The market leans toward Zalgiris Kaunas.
The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0. The model gives 30% for over 2.5 goals.
Zalgiris Kaunas have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Zalgiris Kaunas or KF Drita?
Our model rates Zalgiris Kaunas as the most likely outcome at 50% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Zalgiris Kaunas vs KF Drita?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward under 2.5 goals.
Odds movement
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.