Brazil vs Norway: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Brazilvs
NorwayThe model puts Brazil at 52%. The model leans toward Brazil. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Brazil.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Expected goals
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Brazil have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Norway have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Brazil have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Brazil is priced at 1.952.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 1 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 1 | |
| 3 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 1 | |
| 4 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 2 | ||
| 5 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Brazil at 52%. The model puts the draw at 26%. The model puts Norway at 22%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-1.
The market leans toward Brazil. Brazil is priced at 1.952. The draw is priced at 3.68. Norway is priced at 4.32.
Brazil have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Brazil have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Brazil are on 2 wins in a row. Norway have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
Brazil average 2 goals per game this season. Brazil average 59% possession. Norway average 3 goals per game this season. Norway average 57% possession.
The model gives 74% for both teams to score. The model gives 81% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Brazil or Norway?
Our model rates Brazil as the most likely outcome at 52% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Brazil vs Norway?
A scoreline around 2-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 2 meetings: 1 Brazil wins, 1 draws, 0 Norway wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.