Tecnico Universitario vs Club Social y Deportivo Macara: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Tecnico Universitariovs
Club Social y Deportivo MacaraThe model puts Club Social y Deportivo Macara at 35%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +The head-to-head record favours Club Social y Deportivo Macara (0-4-2).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Tecnico Universitario have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Club Social y Deportivo Macara have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Club Social y Deportivo Macara is priced at 2.727.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 10 | 13 | 8 | 3 | 1 | |
| 2 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 1 | 1 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Tecnico Universitario at 35%. The model puts the draw at 30%. The model puts Club Social y Deportivo Macara at 35%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market frames this as a close contest. Tecnico Universitario is priced at 2.68. The draw is priced at 3.03. Club Social y Deportivo Macara is priced at 2.727.
Club Social y Deportivo Macara have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 4 of their head-to-head meetings.
Tecnico Universitario have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Club Social y Deportivo Macara have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 53% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Tecnico Universitario or Club Social y Deportivo Macara?
Our model rates Club Social y Deportivo Macara as the most likely outcome at 35% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Tecnico Universitario vs Club Social y Deportivo Macara?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 0 Tecnico Universitario wins, 4 draws, 2 Club Social y Deportivo Macara wins.
Odds movement
League table
Ecuador. Serie A| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Independiente del Valle | 17 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 36:18 | 40 |
| 2 |  Barcelona Sporting Club | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 20:13 | 29 |
| 3 |  SD Aucas | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 20:16 | 29 |
| 4 |  Liga Deportiva Universitaria de Quito | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 19:14 | 27 |
| 5 |  Deportivo Cuenca | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 18:19 | 27 |
| 6 |  Universidad Catolica Quito | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 28:17 | 26 |
| 7 | Tecnico Universitario | 17 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 19:17 | 23 |
| 8 | Club Social y Deportivo Macara | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 16:18 | 23 |
| 9 |  Emelec | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 14:17 | 23 |
| 10 |  Orense Sporting Club | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 22:24 | 22 |
| 11 |  Mushuc Runa | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 22:23 | 21 |
| 12 |  Leones Del Norte | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 18:19 | 20 |
| 13 |  Guayaquil City | 17 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 14:20 | 19 |
| 14 |  Delfin | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 9:16 | 17 |
| 15 |  Libertad Loja | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 17:25 | 17 |
| 16 |  Manta | 17 | 3 | 11 | 3 | 7:23 | 12 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.