Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Sochi: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Shinnik Yaroslavlvs
SochiThe model puts Sochi at 45%. The model leans toward Sochi. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Shinnik Yaroslavl have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Sochi have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Shinnik Yaroslavl have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Sochi is priced at 2.06.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 11 | 8 | 4 | 1 | |
| 1 | 9 | 12 | 9 | 4 | 2 | |
| 2 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | |||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Shinnik Yaroslavl at 27%. The model puts the draw at 27%. The model puts Sochi at 45%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Sochi. Shinnik Yaroslavl is priced at 3.5. The draw is priced at 3.52. Sochi is priced at 2.06.
Shinnik Yaroslavl have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. Sochi have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 2 of their head-to-head meetings.
Shinnik Yaroslavl have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Sochi have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 52% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Shinnik Yaroslavl or Sochi?
Our model rates Sochi as the most likely outcome at 45% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Sochi?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 2 Shinnik Yaroslavl wins, 2 draws, 2 Sochi wins.
Odds movement
League table
Russian Championship. League 1| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Torpedo Moscow | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 2 |  Volga Ulyanovsk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 3 |  SKA-Khabarovsk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 4 |  KAMAZ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 5 |  Ural | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 6 |  Tekstilshchik Ivanovo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 7 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 8 |  Chelyabinsk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 9 |  Rotor Volgograd | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 10 |  Arsenal Tula | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 11 |  Yenisey Krasnoyarsk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 12 |  Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 13 |  Ufa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 6a40dd845e99bd05c6447dea |
| 14 |  Spartak Kostroma | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 15 |  Pari Nizhny Novgorod | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 16 |  Veles Moscow | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 17 |  Leningradets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 6a40dd845e99bd05c6447dea |
| 18 | Sochi | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.