Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs Rotor Volgograd: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Pari Nizhny Novgorodvs
Rotor VolgogradThe model puts Pari Nizhny Novgorod at 50%. The model leans toward Pari Nizhny Novgorod. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Pari Nizhny Novgorod.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Pari Nizhny Novgorod have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Rotor Volgograd have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Pari Nizhny Novgorod have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Pari Nizhny Novgorod is priced at 2.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 6 | 3 | |||
| 1 | 13 | 11 | 5 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 6 | 6 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Pari Nizhny Novgorod at 50%. The model puts the draw at 29%. The model puts Rotor Volgograd at 22%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Pari Nizhny Novgorod. Pari Nizhny Novgorod is priced at 2. The draw is priced at 3.2. Rotor Volgograd is priced at 4.14.
Pari Nizhny Novgorod have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. Rotor Volgograd have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
Pari Nizhny Novgorod have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Rotor Volgograd have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 49% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Pari Nizhny Novgorod or Rotor Volgograd?
Our model rates Pari Nizhny Novgorod as the most likely outcome at 50% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs Rotor Volgograd?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 5 meetings: 3 Pari Nizhny Novgorod wins, 0 draws, 2 Rotor Volgograd wins.
Odds movement
League table
Russian Championship. League 1| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Torpedo Moscow | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 2 |  Volga Ulyanovsk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 3 |  SKA-Khabarovsk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 4 |  KAMAZ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 5 |  Ural | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 6 |  Tekstilshchik Ivanovo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 7 |  Shinnik Yaroslavl | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 8 |  Chelyabinsk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 9 | Rotor Volgograd | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 10 |  Arsenal Tula | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 11 |  Yenisey Krasnoyarsk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 12 |  Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 13 |  Ufa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 6a40dd845e99bd05c6447dea |
| 14 |  Spartak Kostroma | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 15 | Pari Nizhny Novgorod | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 16 |  Veles Moscow | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 17 |  Leningradets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 6a40dd845e99bd05c6447dea |
| 18 |  Sochi | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.