Arsenal Tula vs Tekstilshchik Ivanovo: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Arsenal Tulavs
Tekstilshchik IvanovoThe model puts Arsenal Tula at 61%. The model leans toward Arsenal Tula. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Tekstilshchik Ivanovo.
- +The head-to-head record favours Arsenal Tula (2-2-1).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Arsenal Tula have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Tekstilshchik Ivanovo have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Arsenal Tula have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Arsenal Tula is priced at 1.536.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | |||
| 1 | 14 | 10 | 3 | |||
| 2 | 13 | 9 | 3 | |||
| 3 | 9 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 2 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Arsenal Tula at 61%. The model puts the draw at 21%. The model puts Tekstilshchik Ivanovo at 19%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Arsenal Tula. Arsenal Tula is priced at 1.536. The draw is priced at 4.3. Tekstilshchik Ivanovo is priced at 5.85.
Arsenal Tula have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. Tekstilshchik Ivanovo have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 2 of their head-to-head meetings.
Arsenal Tula have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Tekstilshchik Ivanovo have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 44% for both teams to score. The model gives 50% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Arsenal Tula or Tekstilshchik Ivanovo?
Our model rates Arsenal Tula as the most likely outcome at 61% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Arsenal Tula vs Tekstilshchik Ivanovo?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 5 meetings: 2 Arsenal Tula wins, 2 draws, 1 Tekstilshchik Ivanovo wins.
Odds movement
League table
Russian Championship. League 1| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Torpedo Moscow | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 2 |  Volga Ulyanovsk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 3 |  SKA-Khabarovsk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 4 |  KAMAZ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 5 |  Ural | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 6 | Tekstilshchik Ivanovo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 7 |  Shinnik Yaroslavl | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 8 |  Chelyabinsk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 9 |  Rotor Volgograd | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 10 | Arsenal Tula | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 11 |  Yenisey Krasnoyarsk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 12 |  Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 13 |  Ufa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 6a40dd845e99bd05c6447dea |
| 14 |  Spartak Kostroma | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 15 |  Pari Nizhny Novgorod | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 16 |  Veles Moscow | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 17 |  Leningradets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 6a40dd845e99bd05c6447dea |
| 18 |  Sochi | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.