Switzerland vs Colombia: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Switzerlandvs
ColombiaThe model puts Colombia at 43%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Match DNA
Key points
- Switzerland have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Colombia have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Switzerland have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Colombia is priced at 2.286.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | |
| 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 2 |
| 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 3 |
| 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | |
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |
| 5 | 1 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Switzerland at 28%. The model puts the draw at 29%. The model puts Colombia at 43%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-3.
The market leans toward Colombia. Switzerland is priced at 3.575. The draw is priced at 3.35. Colombia is priced at 2.286.
Switzerland have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
Switzerland have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Colombia have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
Switzerland average 3 goals per game this season. Switzerland average 54% possession. Colombia average 3 goals per game this season. Colombia average 61% possession.
The model gives 84% for both teams to score. The model gives 89% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Switzerland or Colombia?
Our model rates Colombia as the most likely outcome at 43% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Switzerland vs Colombia?
A scoreline around 2-3 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 2 meetings: 2 Switzerland wins, 0 draws, 0 Colombia wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.