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UEFA Champions League

Kairat vs Sutjeska Niksic: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Kairat KairatvsSutjeska Niksic Sutjeska Niksic
Our predictionKairat to win
Model score: High · 81/100
Score hint: 2-0

The model puts Kairat at 70%. The model leans toward Kairat. Confidence: high.

Win probabilities

1 · KairatDraw2 · Sutjeska Niksic
Full team comparison

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

BTTSNo1.59+2.7%
1X2Kairat1.35+0.3%
1X2Sutjeska Niksic9.10-0.1%
1X2Draw4.60-0.2%
BTTSYes2.22-2.7%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.
Team strength rating
Kairat
85
Sutjeska Niksic
36

Expected goals

2.43Kairat
xG
0.56Sutjeska Niksic
Over 2.5 goals57%
Both teams to score39%

Recent form

KairatWWWWD
Sutjeska Niksic

Most likely scorelines

2-014.9%
1-012.3%
3-012.0%
2-18.3%
4-07.3%
1-16.8%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Kairat Sutjeska Niksic

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Kairat win1.35Fair

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
053
11272
21582
31272
4741
542

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts Kairat at 70%. The model puts the draw at 20%. The model puts Sutjeska Niksic at 10%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.

The market leans toward Kairat. Kairat is priced at 1.35. The draw is priced at 4.6. Sutjeska Niksic is priced at 9.1.

Kairat have 4 wins in their last 5 matches. Kairat are on 4 wins in a row.

The model gives 39% for both teams to score. The model gives 57% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Kairat or Sutjeska Niksic?

Our model rates Kairat as the most likely outcome at 70% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Kairat vs Sutjeska Niksic?

A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.

See odds at bookmakers

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.