AaB Fodbold vs Randers: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
AaB Fodboldvs
RandersThe model puts Randers at 48%. The model leans toward Randers. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours AaB Fodbold.
- −The head-to-head record favours AaB Fodbold (4-0-2).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- AaB Fodbold have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Randers have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- AaB Fodbold have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Randers is priced at 1.81.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 11 | 8 | 4 | 1 | |
| 1 | 8 | 12 | 9 | 4 | 2 | |
| 2 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | |||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts AaB Fodbold at 29%. The model puts the draw at 22%. The model puts Randers at 48%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Randers. AaB Fodbold is priced at 3.86. The draw is priced at 3.9. Randers is priced at 1.81.
AaB Fodbold have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings. Randers have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
AaB Fodbold have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Randers have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 51% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, AaB Fodbold or Randers?
Our model rates Randers as the most likely outcome at 48% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for AaB Fodbold vs Randers?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 4 AaB Fodbold wins, 0 draws, 2 Randers wins.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.